PERAMALAN KEBUTUHAN STOK SEMBAKO MENGGUNAKAN METODE TREND MOMENT
Abstract
Forecasting stock requirements is vital for grocery businesses to optimize inventory management and meet market demand efficiently. This study addresses the challenges faced by Toko Amah, a grocery store relying on manual stock recording prone to errors, by developing a web-based forecasting system. Utilizing the Trend Moment method, the system analyzes historical sales data to predict future stock needs with greater accuracy. The study aims to enhance inventory decision-making processes, reduce human error, and improve overall business efficiency. The system was evaluated by comparing forecasted stock with actual inventory data, yielding a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 20.89%. While the results indicate acceptable accuracy, further refinement is needed to minimize prediction errors. This study concludes that the Trend Moment method provides a practical solution for stock forecasting, supporting more systematic and reliable inventory management in grocery businesses.
References
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[17] S. Sutrisman, H. Syafwan, and R. Rohminatin, “Implementation of Trend Moment Method in Forecasting Regional Income,” Build. Informatics, Technol. Sci., vol. 4, no. 2, pp. 749–758, Sep. 2022, doi: 10.47065/bits.v4i2.2090.
[18] I. Krisna and D. Arifianto, “IMPLEMENTASI METODE TREND MOMENT PADA TOKO DELIMA JAYA UNTUK MENENTUKAN JUMLAH KEBUTUHAN STOK BARANG,” 2020.
[19] H. Khoirul Muwahidin, A. Faisol, and N. Vendyansyah, “PENERAPAN METODE TREND MOMENT PADA SISTEM PERAMALAN PENJUALAN PRODUK DI TOKO MARTHA AGUNG,” 2022.
[20] G. N. S. Jarod, I. K. Siregar, and E. Saputra, “Application of the Trend Moment Method to Predict Shoes Sales,” Sistemasi, vol. 12, no. 2, p. 551, 2023, doi: 10.32520/stmsi.v12i2.2781.
[2] E. Affandi and W. Riansyah, “Peramalan Penjualan Bulanan menggunakan metode Trend Moment pada Toko Suamzu Boutique,” J. Sains Manaj. Inform. dan Komput., vol. 19, no. 2, pp. 46–53, 2020, [Online]. Available: https://ojs.trigunadharma.ac.id/
[3] S. Audia and M. T. Rustam, “Penerapan Metode Trend Moment Dalam Prediksi Jumlah Mustahiq Penerima Zakat Pada Lazismu Kota Medan,” J. Rekayasa Sist., vol. 1, no. Mei, pp. 673–684, 2023, doi: 10.22303/upu.1.1.2021.01-10.
[4] R. Y. Akbar, E. Ratna Arumi, and A. Primadewi, “Forecasting system of sales and amount of freshwater fish supply using the trend moment method,” Borobudur Informatics Rev., vol. 2, no. 1, pp. 01–10, Aug. 2022, doi: 10.31603/binr.6814.
[5] A. Hajjah and Y. N. Marlim, “Analisis Error Terhadap Peramalan Data Penjualan,” Techno.Com, vol. 20, no. 1, pp. 1–9, 2021, doi: 10.33633/tc.v20i1.4054.
[6] I. Yulian, D. Sri Anggraeni, and Q. Aini, “PENERAPAN METODE TREND MOMENT DALAM FORECASTING PENJUALAN PRODUK CV. RABBANI ASYISA,” JURTEKSI (Jurnal Teknol. dan Sist. Informasi), vol. 6, no. 2, pp. 2407–1811, 2020, doi: 10.33330/jurteksi.v6i2.443.
[7] T. Fakhta Tri Nasution and A. Ridho Lubis, “Analisis Metode Trend Moment Sebagai Peramalan (Forecast) Penjualan UMKM Dimsum Analysis of the Trend Moment Method for Forecasting Dimsum MSME Sales,” 2022. [Online]. Available: https://jurnal.unity-academy.sch.id/index.php/jirsi/index
[8] A. Meizar et al., “ANALISIS TREND MOMENT PADA DATAMINING FORECASTING DALAM MEMPREDIKSI JUMLAH PERSEDIAAN OBAT HERBAL,” 2022.
[9] D. Candra and R. Utami, “Jurnal IEED (Informatics Engineering and Electronic Data) PREDIKSI DATA PENJUALAN OBAT PADA APOTIK MENGGUNAKAN METODE TREND MOMENT,” Online, 2022.
[10] J. Hutagalung, S. Nurarif, R. Kustini, S. Kusnasari, and R. Gunawan, “PREDICTION OF DRUG SALES DURING A PANDEMI USING THE TREND MOMENT METHOD,” JURTEKSI (Jurnal Teknol. dan Sist. Informasi), vol. 9, no. 1, pp. 33–40, Dec. 2022, doi: 10.33330/jurteksi.v9i1.1572.
[11] M. Robby, A. F. Setiawan, and K. Auliasari, “IMPLEMENTASI PERAMALAN HARGA BAHAN BAKU MENGGUNAKAN METODE TREND MOMENT BERBASIS WEBSITE (STUDI KASUS : SALAMA MEAT SHOP),” 2024.
[12] I. Zulfa and R. Wanda, “Klik: kajian ilmiah informatika dan komputer rancangan sistem informasi akademik berbasis website menggunakan php dan mysql,” Klik Kaji. Ilm. Inform. Dan Komput., vol. 3, no. 4, pp. 393–399, 2023, [Online]. Available: https://djournals.com/klik/article/view/617
[13] K. Sussolaikah, P. Jayadi, and D. Andrianto Putra, “KLIK: Kajian Ilmiah Informatika dan Komputer Prediksi Penjualan Harian dengan Menggunakan Metode Trend Moment pada Depot Air Minum Isi Ulang,” Media Online, vol. 4, no. 4, 2024, doi: 10.30865/klik.v4i4.1629.
[14] U. Habibah, R. R. Robby, and M. N. Qomaruddin, “Comparison of the Trend Moment and Naive Methods in Forecasting Gross Regional Domestic Product in Blitar Regency,” Eig. Math. J., vol. 5, no. 1, pp. 31–36, 2022, doi: 10.29303/emj.v5i1.121.
[15] N. A. Septiani and R. Ramdhani, “Application of Prediction of Motorcycle Spare Part Sales with the Trend Moment Method,” Int. J. Inf. Syst. Technol. Akreditasi, vol. 8, no. 158, pp. 12–21, 2024.
[16] F. M. Yuma, “TREND MOMENT METHOD IN PREDICTING THE NUMBER OF SALES OF MATIC MOTORCYCLES,” JURTEKSI (Jurnal Teknol. dan Sist. Informasi), vol. 8, no. 3, pp. 369–374, Aug. 2022, doi: 10.33330/jurteksi.v8i3.1780.
[17] S. Sutrisman, H. Syafwan, and R. Rohminatin, “Implementation of Trend Moment Method in Forecasting Regional Income,” Build. Informatics, Technol. Sci., vol. 4, no. 2, pp. 749–758, Sep. 2022, doi: 10.47065/bits.v4i2.2090.
[18] I. Krisna and D. Arifianto, “IMPLEMENTASI METODE TREND MOMENT PADA TOKO DELIMA JAYA UNTUK MENENTUKAN JUMLAH KEBUTUHAN STOK BARANG,” 2020.
[19] H. Khoirul Muwahidin, A. Faisol, and N. Vendyansyah, “PENERAPAN METODE TREND MOMENT PADA SISTEM PERAMALAN PENJUALAN PRODUK DI TOKO MARTHA AGUNG,” 2022.
[20] G. N. S. Jarod, I. K. Siregar, and E. Saputra, “Application of the Trend Moment Method to Predict Shoes Sales,” Sistemasi, vol. 12, no. 2, p. 551, 2023, doi: 10.32520/stmsi.v12i2.2781.
Published
2024-12-31
How to Cite
PRASETYA, Rafid Artur; IRAWAN, Joseph Dedy; ORISA, Mira.
PERAMALAN KEBUTUHAN STOK SEMBAKO MENGGUNAKAN METODE TREND MOMENT.
Jurnal Teknik Informasi dan Komputer (Tekinkom), [S.l.], v. 7, n. 2, p. 665-671, dec. 2024.
ISSN 2621-3079.
Available at: <https://jurnal.murnisadar.ac.id/index.php/Tekinkom/article/view/1812>. Date accessed: 15 may 2025.
doi: https://doi.org/10.37600/tekinkom.v7i2.1812.
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